Pachter: Wii 2 set for 2011 reveal, will be backwards-compatible

All of these “news stories” coming from Michael Pachter are making me wonder whether there are any other noteworthy video game industry analysts out there. If you’re one of them, and you’re reading this, let me know.

Gametrailers Pach-Attack

So, the latest word from Pachter (coming from the last episode of Pach-Attack) is that the Wii is not, in fact, obsolete – as long as you only buy it to play Nintendo’s own games. “If you want to play Nintendo games then the Wii will never be obsolete,” he says. Going on about backwards compatibility, he continues:

“Yes I think that when a Wii 2 comes out, that it will be fully backward compatible. So, when the Wii 2 comes out the only reason to buy a Wii is that you either can’t afford it or you don’t have a high-definition monitor and you don’t need it. I think that since we are very likely going to see a Wii 2 in 2011, and, just an edit here, I’ve said it for 2009 and 2010 so I’m just going to keep saying it until it comes out.”

You can draw your own conclusions about what he just said in the last line there. I don’t think I need to say too much at this point, if you’ve been hearing Pachter’s words for as long as I have.

On a side note, I’d like to add that Pachter said that Nintendo was going to be doomed unless they released a Wii HD or Wii 2 back in November. Now, he’s contradicting his own opinion by defending Nintendo, using their fan base as his primary argument. He did, however, make it doubly clear that he still sees the PS3 as a Wii rival, but that Kinect is different enough not to be a “Wii killer.”

To answer your question about being obsolete due to PlayStation Move and Kinect, Move is the Wii HD and it really does work just like the Wii does in high-definition and it will have a large line-up of games. Kinect is different, but certainly not a Wii killer. For people buying their first console, Kinect is sufficiently novel and enough to keep them from buying it. Nintendo is still selling about as many consoles as the Xbox 360 so no, I don’t think the Wii is obsolete at all and I don’t think it’ll be obsolete until Nintendo stops making software and that isn’t going to happen anytime soon.

Source: Nintendo Universe

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Comments, Reactions, and General Hooliganism

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  1. Wertville

    Huh? Would I count as an analyst? I’m sure I could say that the SWcES64 is coming out this year every year, too :P

    To the actual content of this post, I think he still believes that the only thing a console upgrade will do is increase graphics. Has the DS, WII and now 3DS not taught you anything, Pac?

    (As a reference for where he shows this opinion:
    “So, when the Wii 2 comes out the only reason to buy a Wii is that you either can’t afford it or you don’t have a high-definition monitor and you don’t need it.”)

    • Nice try, Wertville. You’re as much an analyst as I am. xD

      I agree; I think Pachter simply doesn’t understand the way Nintendo does things. The one and only time Nintendo put graphics first in a new console (the GameCube), they fell into last place for the entire generation. So I don’t think they’re gonna settle for an “HD Wii” when the “HD N64″ didn’t work out.

  2. I don’t think it’s going to come out this year, it would ruin the Nintendo 3DS’ momentum, but we will definitely see a small announcement at E3 or GDC (Starts 28th Feb.)

    • Same here. They originally teased the Wii around the time when the DS Lite was being introduced, if I remember correctly. We didn’t know it would have motion control until just a few months before its launch, though! I’d expect Nintendo to do the same with the Wii 2.

  3. George Tirebiter

    Pachter, I’m surprised. You’re actually mostly accurate this time.

    It’s highly supportive of Nintendo and their plan to keep developing for the Wii, and the only thing he’ll get wrong is Nintendo coming out with their next conosle this year. Of course, he covered his tracks by stating he’ll “keep saying it ’till it comes out.”

    • Pachter, Pachter. In a way, he’s pretty much regurgitating everything Iwata says at Nintendo’s investor conferences. :P

  4. Ephesus

    So the Wii2 will be able to play Wii games? Or the other way round?
    Maybe it’s both, I’m kinda confused. First sentence’s formulation implies that he’s talking about the CONSOLE, but the sentence that follows suggests it’s the GAMES as well.

    Speaking of which, as Wert said. If the Wii2 is just gonna be a Wii HD, it’s not worth even thinking about. Pretty sure Nintendo has included plenty of new ideas (or old ideas that were set aside in the original).

    • The Wii 2 will be able to play Wii games. Knowing Nintendo, they’ve probably got a whole closet full of “scrapped” ideas that they’re just saving for the perfect moment to unleash. The Wii 2 will be anything but a simple HD upgrade.